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JPMorgan
2026-09-28 09:14:18

JPMorgan says U.S. corporate financing surplus is near historic highs, with buybacks supporting equities and Bitcoin back above production cost

JPMorgan said in its Sept. 24, 2026 flows and liquidity report that the U.S. corporate sector’s financing surplus in the second quarter was close to 2% of GDP, one of the highest non-crisis readings since data began in 1952. The bank said non-financial corporates posted a surplus of about 1.5%, the highest non-crisis level since 1958, as cash-flow growth outpaced capital spending and reduced the need for external financing. According to JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, AI-related capital expenditure remains strong, but the aggregate pace of capex has been held back by weakness outside concentrated areas such as data centers. The bank argued that the late-1990s style capex excess has not yet reappeared in the broad data, while corporate savings continue to flow mainly into share buybacks. JPMorgan expects global buybacks to reach $1.7 trillion in 2026, including $1.3 trillion from U.S. companies. On crypto, the report said Bitcoin had spent 280 days below its estimated production cost before recently moving back above that level. JPMorgan estimated the average cost to mine one Bitcoin at about $85,000, adding that a sustained move above that threshold would ease pressure on miners and reduce the risk of forced selling. The bank also said network hashrate and mining difficulty are down about 19% and 15% from their peaks in October last year as miners increasingly shift toward AI-related business.

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JPMorgan says U.S. corporate financing surplus is near historic highs, with buybacks supporting equities and Bitcoin back above production cost
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